语言:简体中文
MSV Duisburg v SV Meppen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
MSV Duisburg (主队)
预测 62.18%1.61公平赔率
EV -4.86%
优势 -3.18%
Kelly -9.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
59.36%62.17%62.29%64.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.75%68.97%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
SV Meppen (客队)
预测 16.14%6.19公平赔率
EV +6.22%
优势 +0.946%
Kelly +1.12%
增长率 +0.069%
假设最高赔率为 6.58
博彩公司预测分布
14.40%16.18%16.04%18.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.605.395.206.5821.74%18.55%19.23%15.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 21.67%4.61公平赔率
EV +4.04%
优势 +0.841%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.043%
假设最高赔率为 4.80
博彩公司预测分布
19.57%21.65%21.67%23.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.304.304.8026.67%23.25%23.26%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：MSV Duisburg (主队)：62.18%；SV Meppen (客队)：16.14%；平局：21.67%。 对于“SV Meppen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.19。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.58，对应+6.22%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.76%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.40%EV +6.22%E +0.946%K +1.12%G +0.069% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.23%EV -9.21%E -6.31%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV +1.70%E +0.270%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 23.35%EV -15.69%E -4.03%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.088%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.14%E -0.524%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.48%EV -15.43%E -11.35%K -42.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.30%E -3.33%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -11.70%E -8.24%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 11:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04%EV -7.35%E -4.93%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -12.83%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +4.04%E +0.841%K +1.06%G +0.043% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -23.32%E -4.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |