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MSV Duisburg v SV Meppen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 62.18%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.86%
Ventaja -3.18%
Kelly -9.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.36%62.17%62.29%64.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.75%68.97%65.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
SV Meppen (Visitante)
Predicción 16.14%6.19momio equitativo
EV +6.22%
Ventaja +0.946%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.069%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.40%16.18%16.04%18.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.605.395.206.5821.74%18.55%19.23%15.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.67%4.61momio equitativo
EV +4.04%
Ventaja +0.841%
Kelly +1.06%
Crecimiento +0.043%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.57%21.65%21.67%23.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.304.304.8026.67%23.25%23.26%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: MSV Duisburg (Local): 62.18%; SV Meppen (Visitante): 16.14%; Empate: 21.67%. Para SV Meppen (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.19. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.58, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.22%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (35 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.76%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.40%EV +6.22%E +0.946%K +1.12%G +0.069% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-08 11:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.23%EV -9.21%E -6.31%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV +1.70%E +0.270%K +0.321%G +0.005% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 23.35%EV -15.69%E -4.03%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.088%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.14%E -0.524%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.48%EV -15.43%E -11.35%K -42.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-08 11:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.30%E -3.33%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -11.70%E -8.24%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-08 11:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04%EV -7.35%E -4.93%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -12.83%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +4.04%E +0.841%K +1.06%G +0.043% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-08 11:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -23.32%E -4.91%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-08 11:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-08-08 11:55 |