預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

MSV Duisburg v SV Meppen

開賽時間: 2026-08-08 12:03 UTC

最終賽果: MSV Duisburg 3–0 SV Meppen

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

35 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

MSV Duisburg (主隊)

預測 62.18%1.61公平賠率
EV -4.86%
優勢 -3.18%
Kelly -9.17%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.53

博彩公司預測分布
59.36%62.17%62.29%64.48%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.451.451.5373.53%68.75%68.97%65.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

SV Meppen (客隊)

預測 16.14%6.19公平賠率
EV +6.22%
優勢 +0.946%
Kelly +1.12%
成長率 +0.069%

假設最高賠率為 6.58

博彩公司預測分布
14.40%16.18%16.04%18.14%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.605.395.206.5821.74%18.55%19.23%15.20%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 21.67%4.61公平賠率
EV +4.04%
優勢 +0.841%
Kelly +1.06%
成長率 +0.043%

假設最高賠率為 4.80

博彩公司預測分布
19.57%21.65%21.67%23.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.754.304.304.8026.67%23.25%23.26%20.83%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:MSV Duisburg (主隊):62.18%;SV Meppen (客隊):16.14%;和局:21.67%。 對於「SV Meppen (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.19的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為6.58,對應+6.22%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (35 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.76%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.40%EV +6.22%E +0.946%K +1.12%G +0.069%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.84%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 11:45
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.23%EV -9.21%E -6.31%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.42%EV +1.70%E +0.270%K +0.321%G +0.005%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.35%EV -15.69%E -4.03%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.20%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.05%EV +0.088%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.10%E -4.04%K -11.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -3.14%E -0.524%K -0.628%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.48%EV -15.43%E -11.35%K -42.87%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.12%EV -6.37%E -1.10%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -8.59%E -5.85%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 11:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -13.30%E -3.33%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-08 11:54
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.00%EV -11.70%E -8.24%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.81%EV -7.18%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 11:50
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -4.86%E -3.18%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.80%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 11:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -2.46%E -0.548%K -0.704%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 11:48
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-08 11:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.21%E -2.04%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 11:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.04%EV -7.35%E -4.93%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -12.83%E -2.38%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV +4.04%E +0.841%K +1.06%G +0.043%6.5%2026-08-08 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:50
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.85%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.69%EV -15.25%E -2.90%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.47%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:19
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -9.84%E -6.78%K -21.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:19
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.89%EV -10.46%E -7.26%K -23.77%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.42%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -0.296%E -0.064%K -0.082%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 11:20
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -7.97%E -5.39%K -16.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -16.06%E -3.09%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.72%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-08 11:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -6.73%E -4.48%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -19.28%E -3.86%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.47%E -3.97%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -23.32%E -4.91%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%16.3%2026-08-08 11:54
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-08 11:50
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 59.61%EV -12.94%E -9.25%K -32.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.14%EV -25.74%E -5.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.25%EV -18.72%E -4.99%K -6.81%G +0.000%19.8%2026-08-08 11:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-08-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-08-08 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-08-08 11:55