A Escola das Odds

MSV Duisburg v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Início: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Final: MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

MSV Duisburg (Local)

Previsão 62.82%1.59odd justa
EV -2.63%
Vantagem -1.70%
Kelly -4.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.39%62.89%62.88%66.12%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.431.441.5573.53%69.80%69.44%64.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante)

Previsão 15.91%6.29odd justa
EV +14.37%
Vantagem +2.00%
Kelly +2.32%
Crescimento +0.334%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.11%15.76%15.93%18.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.755.875.757.1921.05%17.03%17.39%13.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.27%4.70odd justa
EV -0.019%
Vantagem -0.004%
Kelly -0.005%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.79%21.35%21.20%23.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.704.304.404.7027.03%23.25%22.73%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 65.46%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.11%EV +14.37%E +2.00%K +2.32%G +0.334%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Suprabets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV +4.98%E +0.755%K +0.890%G +0.044%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:16
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:45
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:05
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:19
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:10
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:05
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -8.28%E -5.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.92%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 11:15
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:15
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 10:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -18.10%E -4.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -17.04%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:24
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 59.77%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.62%EV -24.44%E -5.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.62%EV -21.29%E -5.75%K -7.89%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-16 11:23
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25