مدرسة الاحتمالات

MSV Duisburg v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

البداية: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

41 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

MSV Duisburg (المضيف)

التنبؤ 62.82%1.59السعر العادل
EV -2.63%
الأفضلية -1.70%
Kelly -4.78%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
58.39%62.89%62.88%66.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.361.431.441.5573.53%69.80%69.44%64.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.91%6.29السعر العادل
EV +14.37%
الأفضلية +2.00%
Kelly +2.32%
النمو +0.334%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.11%15.76%15.93%18.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.755.875.757.1921.05%17.03%17.39%13.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.27%4.70السعر العادل
EV -0.019%
الأفضلية -0.004%
Kelly -0.005%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.79%21.35%21.20%23.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.704.304.404.7027.03%23.25%22.73%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (41 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 65.46%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.11%EV +14.37%E +2.00%K +2.32%G +0.334%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Suprabets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV +4.98%E +0.755%K +0.890%G +0.044%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:16
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:45
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:05
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:19
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:10
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:05
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -8.28%E -5.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.92%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 11:15
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:15
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 10:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -18.10%E -4.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -17.04%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:24
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 59.77%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.62%EV -24.44%E -5.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.62%EV -21.29%E -5.75%K -7.89%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-16 11:23
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (3)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25