La escuela de los momiosMSV Duisburg v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Predicción 62.82%1.59momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -4.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.39%62.89%62.88%66.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.431.441.5573.53%69.80%69.44%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visitante)
Predicción 15.91%6.29momio equitativo
EV +14.37%
Ventaja +2.00%
Kelly +2.32%
Crecimiento +0.334%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%15.76%15.93%18.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.875.757.1921.05%17.03%17.39%13.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.27%4.70momio equitativo
EV -0.019%
Ventaja -0.004%
Kelly -0.005%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.79%21.35%21.20%23.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.704.304.404.7027.03%23.25%22.73%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.46%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.11%EV +14.37%E +2.00%K +2.32%G +0.334% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV +4.98%E +0.755%K +0.890%G +0.044% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:16 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -8.28%E -5.67%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.92%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -18.10%E -4.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -17.04%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.77%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.62%EV -24.44%E -5.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.62%EV -21.29%E -5.75%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-16 11:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |