L’École des cotesMSV Duisburg v FC Viktoria Köln 1904
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
MSV Duisburg (Local)
Prévision 62.82%1.59cote équitable
EV -2.63%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.78%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.39%62.89%62.88%66.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.441.5573.53%69.80%69.44%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Visiteur)
Prévision 15.91%6.29cote équitable
EV +14.37%
Avantage +2.00%
Kelly +2.32%
Croissance +0.334%
avec la cote maximale 7.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%15.76%15.93%18.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.875.757.1921.05%17.03%17.39%13.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.27%4.70cote équitable
EV -0.019%
Avantage -0.004%
Kelly -0.005%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.79%21.35%21.20%23.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.304.404.7027.03%23.25%22.73%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.46%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.11%EV +14.37%E +2.00%K +2.32%G +0.334% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV +4.98%E +0.755%K +0.890%G +0.044% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 11:16 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Betway | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Bovada | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 11:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -8.28%E -5.67%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.92%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 11:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-05-16 10:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -18.10%E -4.70%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -17.04%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-16 11:24 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 59.77%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.62%EV -24.44%E -5.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.62%EV -21.29%E -5.75%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-16 11:23 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 11:25 |