Die Schule der Quoten

MSV Duisburg v FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-16 11:30 UTC

Endstand: MSV Duisburg 1–1 FC Viktoria Köln 1904

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

41 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

MSV Duisburg (Heim)

Prognose 62.82%1.59faire Quote
EV -2.63%
Vorteil -1.70%
Kelly -4.78%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.55

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.39%62.89%62.88%66.12%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.361.431.441.5573.53%69.80%69.44%64.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

FC Viktoria Köln 1904 (Auswärts)

Prognose 15.91%6.29faire Quote
EV +14.37%
Vorteil +2.00%
Kelly +2.32%
Wachstum +0.334%

bei einer Höchstquote von 7.19

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
13.11%15.76%15.93%18.10%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.755.875.757.1921.05%17.03%17.39%13.91%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 21.27%4.70faire Quote
EV -0.019%
Vorteil -0.004%
Kelly -0.005%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.79%21.35%21.20%23.51%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.704.304.404.7027.03%23.25%22.73%21.28%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (41 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 65.46%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.11%EV +14.37%E +2.00%K +2.32%G +0.334%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Suprabets1.42I 70.42%NM 64.04%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV +4.98%E +0.755%K +0.890%G +0.044%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.78%E -3.12%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 11:16
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:20
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.15%E -0.467%K -0.596%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 10:45
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:45
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -13.31%E -9.64%K -35.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV +3.39%E +0.522%K +0.617%G +0.021%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 62.00%EV -6.40%E -4.29%K -13.06%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.90%EV -1.38%E -0.222%K -0.265%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 11:25
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.65%EV -8.91%E -6.14%K -19.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 11:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -4.56%E -0.760%K -0.912%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -7.89%E -1.82%K -2.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-16 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.27%E -0.950%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:05
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.12%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 11:19
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.54%E -1.48%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:10
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:05
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.96%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -9.33%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.80%EV -5.34%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 11:05
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.79%EV -8.28%E -5.67%K -18.00%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.37%EV -10.92%E -1.95%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.40%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 11:05
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -3.88%E -2.54%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -8.53%E -1.98%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:25
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.29%EV -7.65%E -5.21%K -16.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV -0.019%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 11:05
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 11:15
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -14.56%E -10.71%K -40.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -12.51%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:20
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -9.54%E -6.62%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:15
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 61.86%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.49%EV -16.49%E -3.14%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.65%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-16 10:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -2.63%E -1.70%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -18.10%E -4.70%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.03%E -4.75%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.66%E -2.54%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:25
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -14.91%E -3.73%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-16 11:25
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -5.77%E -3.85%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -20.47%E -4.09%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -17.04%E -4.37%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-16 11:24
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 59.77%EV -12.05%E -8.61%K -30.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.62%EV -24.44%E -5.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.62%EV -21.29%E -5.75%K -7.89%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-16 11:23
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-16 11:25