Language:English
Jahn Regensburg v MSV Duisburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jahn Regensburg (Local)
Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.559%
Kelly +0.752%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.99%26.11%26.40%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.123.443.483.9032.05%29.11%28.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
MSV Duisburg (Visit)
Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -4.42%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%49.13%48.95%51.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.10%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV +0.139%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.046%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.10%24.76%24.65%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.653.704.0430.30%27.38%27.03%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 26.20%; MSV Duisburg (Visit): 49.01%; Draw: 24.79%. For Jahn Regensburg (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.18%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +2.18%E +0.559%K +0.752%G +0.016% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.09%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.56%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV +0.139%E +0.034%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -7.51%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -6.31%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -0.852%E -0.213%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-04 11:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |