StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jahn Regensburg v MSV Duisburg

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Jahn Regensburg 1–2 MSV Duisburg

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

42 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Jahn Regensburg (Hemma)

Prognos 26.20%3.82rättvist odds
EV +2.18%
Fördel +0.559%
Kelly +0.752%
Tillväxt +0.016%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.99%26.11%26.40%27.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.123.443.483.9032.05%29.11%28.78%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

MSV Duisburg (Borta)

Prognos 49.01%2.04rättvist odds
EV -4.42%
Fördel -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.07%49.13%48.95%51.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.10%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.79%4.03rättvist odds
EV +0.139%
Fördel +0.034%
Kelly +0.046%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.10%24.76%24.65%26.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.653.704.0430.30%27.38%27.03%24.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Jahn Regensburg (Hemma): 26.20%; MSV Duisburg (Borta): 49.01%; Oavgjort: 24.79%. För Jahn Regensburg (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.82. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 3.90, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.18%.

Spelbolagsodds (42 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +2.18%E +0.559%K +0.752%G +0.016%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 12:10
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.09%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.56%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV +0.139%E +0.034%K +0.046%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Suprabets🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -7.51%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -6.31%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:15
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 06:50
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 05:20
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -0.852%E -0.213%K -0.284%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:08
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 12:05
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 11:30
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 11:30
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 12:00
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 05:10
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 05:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 11:30
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:44
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-04 05:20
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-04 07:29
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-04 11:38
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05