Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jahn Regensburg v MSV Duisburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Score final : Jahn Regensburg 1–2 MSV Duisburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Jahn Regensburg (Local)

Prévision 26.20%3.82cote équitable
EV +2.18%
Avantage +0.559%
Kelly +0.752%
Croissance +0.016%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%26.11%26.40%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.123.443.483.9032.05%29.11%28.78%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

MSV Duisburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.01%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.07%49.13%48.95%51.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.10%54.05%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.79%4.03cote équitable
EV +0.139%
Avantage +0.034%
Kelly +0.046%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.10%24.76%24.65%26.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.653.704.0430.30%27.38%27.03%24.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Jahn Regensburg (Local) : 26.20% ; MSV Duisburg (Visiteur) : 49.01% ; Match nul : 24.79%. Pour Jahn Regensburg (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.82. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +2.18%.

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +2.18%E +0.559%K +0.752%G +0.016%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 12:10
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.09%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.56%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV +0.139%E +0.034%K +0.046%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Suprabets🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -7.51%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -6.31%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:15
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 06:50
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 05:20
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -0.852%E -0.213%K -0.284%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:08
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 12:05
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 11:30
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 11:30
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 12:00
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 05:10
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 05:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 11:30
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:44
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-04 05:20
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-04 07:29
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-04 11:38
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05