Idioma:Español
Jahn Regensburg v MSV Duisburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Jahn Regensburg (Local)
Predicción 26.20%3.82momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.559%
Kelly +0.752%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.99%26.11%26.40%27.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.123.443.483.9032.05%29.11%28.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
MSV Duisburg (Visitante)
Predicción 49.01%2.04momio equitativo
EV -4.42%
Ventaja -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.07%49.13%48.95%51.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.10%54.05%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.79%4.03momio equitativo
EV +0.139%
Ventaja +0.034%
Kelly +0.046%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.10%24.76%24.65%26.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.653.704.0430.30%27.38%27.03%24.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Jahn Regensburg (Local): 26.20%; MSV Duisburg (Visitante): 49.01%; Empate: 24.79%. Para Jahn Regensburg (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.82. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.18%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +2.18%E +0.559%K +0.752%G +0.016% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.09%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.56%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV +0.139%E +0.034%K +0.046%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -7.51%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -6.31%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -0.852%E -0.213%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:08 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-02 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-02 12:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 12:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-04 05:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-02 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-01 15:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-04 05:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-09-04 05:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-09-04 07:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-04 11:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |