Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jahn Regensburg v MSV Duisburg

Inizio: 2026-09-05 12:00 UTC

Finale: Jahn Regensburg 1–2 MSV Duisburg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jahn Regensburg (Casa)

Previsione 26.20%3.82quota equa
EV +2.18%
Vantaggio +0.559%
Kelly +0.752%
Crescita +0.016%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.99%26.11%26.40%27.51%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.123.443.483.9032.05%29.11%28.78%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

MSV Duisburg (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.01%2.04quota equa
EV -4.42%
Vantaggio -2.27%
Kelly -4.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.07%49.13%48.95%51.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.851.851.9557.80%54.10%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 24.79%4.03quota equa
EV +0.139%
Vantaggio +0.034%
Kelly +0.046%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.10%24.76%24.65%26.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.653.704.0430.30%27.38%27.03%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jahn Regensburg (Casa): 26.20%; MSV Duisburg (Trasferta): 49.01%; Pareggio: 24.79%. Per Jahn Regensburg (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.82. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.90, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.18%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +2.18%E +0.559%K +0.752%G +0.016%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -8.35%E -4.46%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 12:10
Pinnacle🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.09%EV -1.49%E -0.396%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.56%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV +0.139%E +0.034%K +0.046%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.06%E -0.827%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.51%EV -8.84%E -4.75%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -3.33%E -0.854%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:09
Suprabets🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -7.51%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.05%EV -14.23%E -8.13%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -6.31%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:15
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.08%EV -7.37%E -3.90%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.81%E -1.53%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 06:50
Coolbet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 05:20
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -0.852%E -0.213%K -0.284%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Casumo🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:08
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:09
Unibet (NL)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 05:10
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -15.72%E -4.62%K -6.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:05
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.25%EV -9.61%E -2.79%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.95%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.81%EV -9.53%E -2.61%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.20%EV -4.91%E -2.53%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-02 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -4.42%E -2.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 12:05
Betsson🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 11:30
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.49%EV -5.89%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 11:30
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 05:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -7.05%E -1.88%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 12:00
theScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -8.29%E -2.24%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 05:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.38%EV -12.76%E -7.17%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-04 05:10
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 05:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.37%EV -6.87%E -3.62%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.35%EV -12.01%E -3.38%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 11:30
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -6.38%E -3.34%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-04 11:30
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -9.33%E -5.04%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-01 15:44
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%EV -11.29%E -6.24%K -13.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 05:25
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.09%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.15%EV -11.78%E -6.54%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.76%EV -13.25%E -3.78%K -5.30%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-04 05:20
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -10.77%E -2.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-04 07:29
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-04 11:38
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 26.67%EV -18.26%E -5.85%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.11%EV -15.21%E -8.79%K -20.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.22%EV -18.20%E -5.52%K -7.91%G +0.000%20.2%2026-09-04 11:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.32%5.4%2026-09-04 13:05