Language:English
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Prediction 41.07%2.43fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.37%41.03%41.15%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.182.202.3448.08%45.93%45.45%42.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alemannia Aachen (Visit)
Prediction 33.11%3.02fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.784%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.36%33.08%33.07%34.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.782.752.9540.82%36.03%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -0.853%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%25.89%25.78%27.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.533.603.7533.33%28.34%27.78%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local): 41.07%; Alemannia Aachen (Visit): 33.11%; Draw: 25.81%. For Alemannia Aachen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 04:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 04:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -5.12%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.22%EV -4.96%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.46%E -0.924%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 08:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 09:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.20%E -0.853%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 12:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 12:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 10:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-17 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-21 10:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-21 10:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -18.87%E -7.70%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.40%E -5.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-21 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -22.56%E -7.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-03-20 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |