La escuela de los momiosEspañol
FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)
Predicción 41.07%2.43momio equitativo
EV -3.89%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.37%41.03%41.15%43.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.082.182.202.3448.08%45.93%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)
Predicción 33.11%3.02momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -0.784%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.36%33.08%33.07%34.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.782.752.9540.82%36.03%36.36%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.81%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -0.853%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.58%25.89%25.78%27.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.603.7533.33%28.34%27.78%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 04:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 04:39 |
| Pinnacle | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -5.12%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.22%EV -4.96%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.46%E -0.924%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 12:24 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-15 18:55 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 08:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 09:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-16 21:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| Suprabets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.65%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.20%E -0.853%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-21 12:00 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 12:54 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 12:53 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:14 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:14 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-20 12:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 10:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-17 13:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-21 10:10 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-03-21 10:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -18.87%E -7.70%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.40%E -5.44%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-21 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -22.56%E -7.52%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-03-20 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-16 13:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-21 12:55 |