L’École des cotes

FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)

Prévision 41.07%2.43cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -2.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.37%41.03%41.15%43.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.082.182.202.3448.08%45.93%45.45%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alemannia Aachen (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.11%3.02cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.784%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.36%33.08%33.07%34.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.782.752.9540.82%36.03%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.81%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -0.853%
Kelly -1.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.58%25.89%25.78%27.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.603.7533.33%28.34%27.78%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 04:39
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 04:39
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -5.12%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.22%EV -4.96%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.46%E -0.924%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 11:10
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:24
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 18:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:44
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:45
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 09:44
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 10:50
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 08:45
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.20%E -0.853%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 08:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:54
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 10:10
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-17 13:05
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-16 13:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 10:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 10:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -18.87%E -7.70%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.40%E -5.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-21 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -22.56%E -7.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-20 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55