A Escola das Odds

FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen

Início: 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (11 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Ingolstadt 04 (Local)

Previsão 41.07%2.43odd justa
EV -3.89%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -2.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.37%41.03%41.15%43.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.082.182.202.3448.08%45.93%45.45%42.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alemannia Aachen (Visitante)

Previsão 33.11%3.02odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.784%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.36%33.08%33.07%34.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.782.752.9540.82%36.03%36.36%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.81%3.87odd justa
EV -3.20%
Vantagem -0.853%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.58%25.89%25.78%27.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.533.603.7533.33%28.34%27.78%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 04:39
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 04:39
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -5.12%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.22%EV -4.96%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.46%E -0.924%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 11:10
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:24
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 18:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:44
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:45
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 09:44
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 10:50
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 08:45
Suprabets2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 10:50
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.20%E -0.853%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 08:45
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:54
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 10:10
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-17 13:05
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-16 13:05
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 10:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 10:49
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -18.87%E -7.70%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.40%E -5.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-21 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -22.56%E -7.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-20 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55