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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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FC Ingolstadt 04 v Alemannia Aachen

开赛时间： 2026-03-21 13:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (11 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Ingolstadt 04 (主队)

预测 41.07%2.43公平赔率
EV -3.89%
优势 -1.66%
Kelly -2.90%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.34

博彩公司预测分布
39.37%41.03%41.15%43.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.082.182.202.3448.08%45.93%45.45%42.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

Alemannia Aachen (客队)

预测 33.11%3.02公平赔率
EV -2.31%
优势 -0.784%
Kelly -1.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.95

博彩公司预测分布
31.36%33.08%33.07%34.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.782.752.9540.82%36.03%36.36%33.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.81%3.87公平赔率
EV -3.20%
优势 -0.853%
Kelly -1.16%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.75

博彩公司预测分布
24.58%25.89%25.78%27.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.533.603.7533.33%28.34%27.78%26.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Ingolstadt 04 (主队)：41.07%；Alemannia Aachen (客队)：33.11%；平局：25.81%。 对于“Alemannia Aachen (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.02。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.95，期望值为-2.31%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 04:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.93%EV -3.89%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.47%EV -2.31%E -0.784%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 04:39
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.28%EV -5.12%E -2.22%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.22%EV -4.96%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -3.46%E -0.924%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 11:10
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 12:24
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -5.53%E -2.41%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-15 18:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:44
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.93%EV -6.62%E -2.35%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-21 08:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 09:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 10:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -7.59%E -3.37%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-16 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.50%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -7.28%E -2.60%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 08:45
Suprabets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.90%EV -8.82%E -3.97%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.38%EV -9.93%E -3.65%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.72%EV -8.88%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.49%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.20%E -0.853%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 08:45
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.07%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-21 12:00
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -8.94%E -3.25%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 12:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -8.36%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 12:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.64%E -4.38%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-20 12:14
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.59%E -3.92%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.65%E -2.76%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 10:10
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -11.70%E -5.44%K -10.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -13.90%E -5.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.81%E -4.49%K -6.44%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-17 13:05
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-16 13:05
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -13.24%E -5.05%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-21 10:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -12.23%E -3.60%K -5.10%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-21 10:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -18.87%E -7.70%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.40%E -5.44%K -7.91%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-21 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.75%E -6.55%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -17.21%E -6.89%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -22.56%E -7.52%K -11.28%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-20 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -14.57%E -7.01%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -3.97%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.78%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-16 13:05
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.72%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.24%1.6%2026-03-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.62%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-21 12:55