Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Erzgebirge Aue v MSV Duisburg
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Erzgebirge Aue (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 22.52%4.44kurs godziwy
EV -0.890%
Przewaga -0.202%
Kelly -0.262%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.40
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
20.73%22.76%22.19%24.56%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.604.104.204.4027.78%24.41%23.81%22.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
MSV Duisburg (Goście)
Prognoza 55.34%1.81kurs godziwy
EV -3.16%
Przewaga -1.81%
Kelly -4.22%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.75
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
52.79%55.14%55.66%57.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.571.651.651.7563.69%60.51%60.61%57.14%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Remis
Prognoza 22.14%4.52kurs godziwy
EV -1.48%
Przewaga -0.332%
Kelly -0.429%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.45
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.27%22.10%22.15%25.11%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.953.904.4530.30%25.34%25.64%22.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Kursy bukmacherskie (42 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Remis | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.890%E -0.202%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -11.46%E -7.16%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.55%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -1.48%E -0.332%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -9.25%E -5.64%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.30%EV -12.02%E -7.56%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.91%E -6.78%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.98%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Suprabets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -20.30%E -5.64%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -4.14%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.79%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -26.94%E -8.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -16.66%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -24.73%E -7.27%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -18.91%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-08 16:55 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (3)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Remis | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |