L’École des cotesErzgebirge Aue v MSV Duisburg
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Prévision 22.52%4.44cote équitable
EV -0.890%
Avantage -0.202%
Kelly -0.262%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.73%22.76%22.19%24.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.104.204.4027.78%24.41%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
MSV Duisburg (Visiteur)
Prévision 55.34%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.16%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -4.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.79%55.14%55.66%57.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.651.651.7563.69%60.51%60.61%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.14%4.52cote équitable
EV -1.48%
Avantage -0.332%
Kelly -0.429%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.27%22.10%22.15%25.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.953.904.4530.30%25.34%25.64%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.890%E -0.202%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -11.46%E -7.16%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.55%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -1.48%E -0.332%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -9.25%E -5.64%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.30%EV -12.02%E -7.56%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.91%E -6.78%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.98%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Suprabets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -20.30%E -5.64%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -4.14%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.79%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -26.94%E -8.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -16.66%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -24.73%E -7.27%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -18.91%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-08 16:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |