Die Schule der Quoten

Erzgebirge Aue v MSV Duisburg

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-08 17:00 UTC

Endstand: Erzgebirge Aue 0–0 MSV Duisburg

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

42 Wettanbieter (12 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Erzgebirge Aue (Heim)

Prognose 22.52%4.44faire Quote
EV -0.890%
Vorteil -0.202%
Kelly -0.262%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.40

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.73%22.76%22.19%24.56%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.604.104.204.4027.78%24.41%23.81%22.73%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

MSV Duisburg (Auswärts)

Prognose 55.34%1.81faire Quote
EV -3.16%
Vorteil -1.81%
Kelly -4.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.79%55.14%55.66%57.02%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.571.651.651.7563.69%60.51%60.61%57.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.14%4.52faire Quote
EV -1.48%
Vorteil -0.332%
Kelly -0.429%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
21.27%22.10%22.15%25.11%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.303.953.904.4530.30%25.34%25.64%22.47%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (42 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Bovada4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.890%E -0.202%K -0.262%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -11.46%E -7.16%K -19.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-08 16:50
LeoVegas4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 16:49
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:50
Grosvenor4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
TABtouch4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-08 16:49
Pinnacle4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.55%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -1.48%E -0.332%K -0.429%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 16:44
Coolbet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -9.25%E -5.64%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 16:54
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:54
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 16:53
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 16:54
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 16:53
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-08 16:54
betfred_uk4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-08 16:54
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 56.30%EV -12.02%E -7.56%K -20.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 16:54
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:54
Winamax (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 16:54
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 16:54
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-08 16:49
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.91%E -6.78%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.98%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-08 16:54
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:54
Coral3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-08 16:54
Suprabets3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 16:54
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:54
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-08 16:54
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 16:54
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 16:54
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 16:54
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -20.30%E -5.64%K -7.81%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-08 16:54
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -4.14%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 52.79%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -26.94%E -8.16%K -11.71%G +0.000%20.7%2026-05-08 16:54
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -16.66%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -24.73%E -7.27%K -10.30%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-08 16:53
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -18.91%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-08 16:55
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-05-08 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-05-08 16:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91%1.5%2026-05-08 16:54