La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Erzgebirge Aue v MSV Duisburg
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Erzgebirge Aue (Casa)
Previsione 22.52%4.44quota equa
EV -0.890%
Vantaggio -0.202%
Kelly -0.262%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.73%22.76%22.19%24.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.104.204.4027.78%24.41%23.81%22.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
MSV Duisburg (Trasferta)
Previsione 55.34%1.81quota equa
EV -3.16%
Vantaggio -1.81%
Kelly -4.22%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.79%55.14%55.66%57.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.651.651.7563.69%60.51%60.61%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.14%4.52quota equa
EV -1.48%
Vantaggio -0.332%
Kelly -0.429%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.27%22.10%22.15%25.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.953.904.4530.30%25.34%25.64%22.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -0.890%E -0.202%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -11.46%E -7.16%K -19.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.99%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -2.02%E -0.464%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.14%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Pinnacle | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.55%EV -7.04%E -4.19%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.35%EV -1.48%E -0.332%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:44 |
| Coolbet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -3.14%E -0.731%K -0.952%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -9.25%E -5.64%K -14.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| NordicBet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betsson | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -4.27%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.26%EV -8.12%E -1.96%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.70%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| betfred_uk | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| theScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.32%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 56.30%EV -12.02%E -7.56%K -20.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Paddy Power | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -5.40%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -15.87%E -4.18%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.84%EV -8.14%E -4.91%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -4.80%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -6.48%E -3.84%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -9.23%E -2.25%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| PlayUp | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -10.91%E -6.78%K -17.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.98%E -4.53%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Coral | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -12.15%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.17%EV -8.70%E -5.27%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Suprabets | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.69%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.60%EV -7.59%E -4.54%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -3.16%E -1.81%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.01%E -1.67%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.10%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -13.66%E -3.50%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -20.30%E -5.64%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.56%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.93%E -3.49%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -4.14%E -0.955%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -15.53%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.79%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.11%EV -26.94%E -8.16%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.50%EV -16.66%E -4.50%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.02%EV -13.12%E -8.36%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.48%EV -24.73%E -7.27%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-05-08 16:53 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -18.91%E -5.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -10.36%E -6.39%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -11.44%E -2.86%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-08 16:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (3)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.42% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-08 16:54 |