Language:English
Erzgebirge Aue v FC Energie Cottbus
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Prediction 31.24%3.20fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.42%31.10%31.24%32.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.902.903.1038.17%34.43%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
FC Energie Cottbus (Visit)
Prediction 43.01%2.33fair odd
EV -4.53%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.13%43.13%43.01%44.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.122.152.2252.36%47.25%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.75%3.88fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%25.77%25.75%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.533.603.7733.33%28.33%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Erzgebirge Aue (Local): 31.24%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visit): 43.01%; Draw: 25.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.77, with an expected value of -2.92%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.83%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 11:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.70%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -2.92%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-22 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 15:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 15:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.83%EV -10.64%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%EV -8.40%E -3.94%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.43%EV -7.82%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 15:13 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-02-22 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -17.86%E -9.35%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -22.75%E -7.58%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-02-22 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.46%EV -18.14%E -6.92%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |