Idioma:Español
Erzgebirge Aue v FC Energie Cottbus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Erzgebirge Aue (Local)
Predicción 31.24%3.20momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.42%31.10%31.24%32.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.902.903.1038.17%34.43%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante)
Predicción 43.01%2.33momio equitativo
EV -4.53%
Ventaja -2.04%
Kelly -3.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.13%43.13%43.01%44.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.122.152.2252.36%47.25%46.51%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.75%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -0.776%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.77%25.77%25.75%27.46%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.603.7733.33%28.33%27.78%26.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Erzgebirge Aue (Local): 31.24%; FC Energie Cottbus (Visitante): 43.01%; Empate: 25.75%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.88. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.77, con un valor esperado de -2.92%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.83%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 11:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.70%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -2.92%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-22 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-22 15:11 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 15:13 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.83%EV -10.64%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%EV -8.40%E -3.94%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.43%EV -7.82%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-22 15:13 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-22 15:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-22 14:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-02-22 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -17.86%E -9.35%K -19.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -22.75%E -7.58%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 21.4% | 2026-02-22 11:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.46%EV -18.14%E -6.92%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 17.6% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44% | 2.1% | 2026-02-22 15:15 |