StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Erzgebirge Aue v FC Energie Cottbus

Matchstart: 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Erzgebirge Aue (Hemma)

Prognos 31.24%3.20rättvist odds
EV -3.14%
Fördel -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.42%31.10%31.24%32.47%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.622.902.903.1038.17%34.43%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

FC Energie Cottbus (Borta)

Prognos 43.01%2.33rättvist odds
EV -4.53%
Fördel -2.04%
Kelly -3.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.22

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.13%43.13%43.01%44.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.122.152.2252.36%47.25%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.75%3.88rättvist odds
EV -2.92%
Fördel -0.776%
Kelly -1.06%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.77%25.77%25.75%27.46%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.533.603.7733.33%28.33%27.78%26.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Erzgebirge Aue (Hemma): 31.24%; FC Energie Cottbus (Borta): 43.01%; Oavgjort: 25.75%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.88. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.77, med väntevärdet -2.92%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:15
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.83%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:13
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.70%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -2.92%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 15:14
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:11
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:13
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 14:15
Suprabets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 31.83%EV -10.64%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%EV -8.40%E -3.94%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.43%EV -7.82%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:13
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:14
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:14
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-22 14:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -17.86%E -9.35%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -22.75%E -7.58%K -11.38%G +0.000%21.4%2026-02-22 11:14
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.46%EV -18.14%E -6.92%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-22 15:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15