L’École des cotes

Erzgebirge Aue v FC Energie Cottbus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Erzgebirge Aue (Local)

Prévision 31.24%3.20cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.42%31.10%31.24%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.902.903.1038.17%34.43%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Energie Cottbus (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.01%2.33cote équitable
EV -4.53%
Avantage -2.04%
Kelly -3.71%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.13%43.13%43.01%44.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.122.152.2252.36%47.25%46.51%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.75%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -0.776%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.77%25.77%25.75%27.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.603.7733.33%28.33%27.78%26.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:15
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.83%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:13
LowVig.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:14
BetOnline.ag3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 31.70%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -2.92%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 14:55
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:14
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 15:14
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:11
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:13
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 14:15
Suprabets2.86I 34.97%NM 31.83%EV -10.64%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%EV -8.40%E -3.94%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.43%EV -7.82%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:13
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 14:54
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:14
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:14
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-22 14:15
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -17.86%E -9.35%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -22.75%E -7.58%K -11.38%G +0.000%21.4%2026-02-22 11:14
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.46%EV -18.14%E -6.92%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-22 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15