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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Erzgebirge Aue v FC Energie Cottbus

开赛时间： 2026-02-22 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Erzgebirge Aue (主队)

预测 31.24%3.20公平赔率
EV -3.14%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -1.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
29.42%31.10%31.24%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.902.903.1038.17%34.43%34.48%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Energie Cottbus (客队)

预测 43.01%2.33公平赔率
EV -4.53%
优势 -2.04%
Kelly -3.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
42.13%43.13%43.01%44.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.122.152.2252.36%47.25%46.51%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.75%3.88公平赔率
EV -2.92%
优势 -0.776%
Kelly -1.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.77

博彩公司预测分布
24.77%25.77%25.75%27.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.533.603.7733.33%28.33%27.78%26.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Erzgebirge Aue (主队)：31.24%；FC Energie Cottbus (客队)：43.01%；平局：25.75%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.88。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.77，期望值为-2.92%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 15:15
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -8.83%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-22 11:13
LowVig.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:14
BetOnline.ag🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.06%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.73%E -1.28%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 31.70%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -4.53%E -2.04%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.31%EV -2.92%E -0.776%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-22 14:55
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.82%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-22 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 15:14
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-22 15:11
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:13
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.55%EV -8.77%E -3.00%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -3.44%E -0.917%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 15:14
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-22 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.72%EV -7.97%E -3.72%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.75%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-22 15:14
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.84%E -5.77%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-02-22 14:15
Suprabets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 31.83%EV -10.64%E -3.72%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.74%EV -8.40%E -3.94%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.43%EV -7.82%E -2.18%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-22 15:13
LeoVegas🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.30%EV -6.68%E -3.08%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-22 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.95%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-22 14:55
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.30%E -2.03%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-22 15:14
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.59%E -2.42%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-22 15:14
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -15.03%E -4.55%K -6.53%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-22 14:15
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -16.31%E -5.02%K -7.25%G +0.000%16.5%2026-02-22 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.42%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.13%EV -17.86%E -9.35%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.46%EV -22.75%E -7.58%K -11.38%G +0.000%21.4%2026-02-22 11:14
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.46%EV -18.14%E -6.92%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.52%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.01%EV -12.45%E -3.66%K -5.19%G +0.000%17.6%2026-02-22 15:15
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-02-22 15:15