Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Holstein Kiel

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Prediction 44.71%2.24fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.43%44.83%44.61%47.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.042.052.1553.19%49.01%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Holstein Kiel (Visit)

Prediction 29.49%3.39fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%29.54%29.46%31.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.043.3035.71%32.69%32.89%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV +0.616%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.213%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.63%25.92%26.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.483.9031.25%28.52%28.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -2.67%E -0.809%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV +0.616%E +0.158%K +0.213%G +0.001%5.9%2026-07-26 20:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -0.674%E -0.175%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:44
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -1.96%E -0.517%K -0.701%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:45
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.96%E -0.517%K -0.701%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 15:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.54%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 05:58
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 09:15
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 15:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -7.12%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 15:45
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.17%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.45%EV -6.21%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 03:15
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -6.21%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-28 15:04
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -10.04%E -3.29%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.41%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 21:14
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -7.90%E -3.84%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:40
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.62%E -1.76%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.70%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 12:14
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.15%E -1.28%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -10.99%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:14
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -9.69%E -4.80%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -8.57%E -2.76%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 06:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 06:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -12.37%E -6.31%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -11.52%E -3.84%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-27 16:50
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -17.42%E -6.22%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.28%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-24 15:45
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 44.53%EV -13.27%E -6.84%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.29%EV -12.99%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.86%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-27 16:50
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.08%EV -14.61%E -7.65%K -16.05%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -10.63%E -3.51%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -16.15%E -4.97%K -7.18%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-24 11:10
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 44.82%EV -15.50%E -8.20%K -17.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.71%EV -12.99%E -4.40%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.47%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-24 11:05
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 44.73%EV -15.95%E -8.48%K -18.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.00%EV -14.47%E -4.99%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.28%EV -17.44%E -5.45%K -7.93%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-28 05:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 43.99%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%16.6%2026-07-13 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.99%158.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.99%158.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.99%158.0%2026-07-22 13:45