The School of Odds

SV Darmstadt 98 v Holstein Kiel

2026-08-08 11:30 — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Option 1: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Odds
1.8653.76%Min
2.0648.61%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1546.51%Max
Consensus probabilities
42.25%2.367Min
46.02%2.173Max
44.42%2.251Mean
44.42%2.251Median
44.42%2.251IQM
44.37%2.254Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.15 under the IQM model: 44.42%

EV -4.50%Edge -2.10%Kelly -3.92%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Holstein Kiel (Visit)

Odds
2.7536.36%Min
3.0233.08%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.15%3.553Min
31.53%3.171Max
29.67%3.371Mean
29.67%3.371Median
29.67%3.371IQM
29.74%3.362Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 29.67%

EV -2.09%Edge -0.634%Kelly -0.910%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.4529.02%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.7027.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.22%3.966Min
27.83%3.593Max
25.91%3.859Mean
25.91%3.859Median
25.91%3.859IQM
25.88%3.863Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 25.91%

EV -4.12%Edge -1.11%Kelly -1.52%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSV Darmstadt 98 (Local) ▼Holstein Kiel (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.52%EV -4.50% E -2.10% K -3.92% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -10.99% E -3.66% K -5.50% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.29%EV -4.12% E -1.11% K -1.52% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 11:55
FanDuel2.15I 46.51% NM 43.52%EV -4.50% E -2.10% K -3.92% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -10.99% E -3.66% K -5.50% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.29%EV -4.12% E -1.11% K -1.52% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 13:54
1xBet2.12I 47.17% NM 43.20%EV -5.84% E -2.75% K -5.21% G +0.000%2.92I 34.25% NM 31.36%EV -13.37% E -4.58% K -6.96% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.44%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 15:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62% NM 43.24%EV -6.73% E -3.20% K -6.11% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 31.53%EV -14.55% E -5.05% K -7.74% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.23%EV -6.71% E -1.86% K -2.58% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 15:08
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 45.31%EV -8.95% E -4.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.15%EV -2.09% E -0.634% K -0.910% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.54%EV -9.30% E -2.66% K -3.72% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-08 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.44%EV -8.95% E -4.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.73%EV -8.03% E -2.59% K -3.82% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.83%EV -17.07% E -5.34% K -7.76% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds2.05I 48.78% NM 43.44%EV -8.95% E -4.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.73%EV -8.03% E -2.59% K -3.82% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.83%EV -17.07% E -5.34% K -7.76% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-08 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.44%EV -8.95% E -4.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.73%EV -8.03% E -2.59% K -3.82% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.83%EV -17.07% E -5.34% K -7.76% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-08 16:50
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 42.25%EV -8.95% E -4.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 31.50%EV -18.41% E -6.69% K -10.52% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.25%EV -14.48% E -4.39% K -6.30% G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-08 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.02%EV -11.17% E -5.58% K -11.17% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.76%EV -5.06% E -1.58% K -2.30% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 25.22%EV -5.41% E -1.48% K -2.04% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-08 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76% NM 45.17%EV -17.39% E -9.35% K -20.22% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 28.97%EV -13.96% E -4.81% K -7.35% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 25.85%EV -15.78% E -4.85% K -7.01% G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-08 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerSV Darmstadt 98 (Local)Holstein Kiel (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00% NM 27.89%3.20I 31.25% NM 17.43%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.68%79.3%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 27.89%3.20I 31.25% NM 17.43%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.68%79.3%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 27.89%3.20I 31.25% NM 17.43%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.68%79.3%2026-07-08 15:40