Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 42.03%; Holstein Kiel (Visitante): 31.43%; Empate: 26.53%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.77. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -0.502%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -4.16%E -1.83%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.28%EV -4.58%E -2.02%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.06%EV -2.87%E -0.930%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 10:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -0.502%E -0.134%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-08 10:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-08 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.41%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.75%EV -2.87%E -0.930%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.07%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -9.26%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -7.10%E -3.21%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.07%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-08 10:47 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.16%E -0.864%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.56%E -0.825%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-08 10:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-08 10:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.47%EV -8.99%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 10:53 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-08 10:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-08 10:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -12.99%E -6.27%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.96%EV -11.36%E -4.03%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -13.77%E -4.24%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -13.41%E -6.51%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -11.11%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -13.41%E -6.51%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -11.11%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-08 10:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -15.93%E -7.97%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.77%E -4.24%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 10:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 10:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-08-08 10:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-08-08 10:25 |