Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 v Holstein Kiel

Início: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: SV Darmstadt 98 2–2 Holstein Kiel

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SV Darmstadt 98 (Local)

Previsão 42.03%2.38odd justa
EV -3.32%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.48%42.05%42.06%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.182.202.3050.00%45.83%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Holstein Kiel (Visitante)

Previsão 31.43%3.18odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -0.825%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.35%31.46%31.43%33.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.942.953.1035.71%34.02%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.53%3.77odd justa
EV -0.502%
Vantagem -0.134%
Kelly -0.182%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.39%26.49%26.52%27.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.473.503.7530.77%28.81%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SV Darmstadt 98 (Local): 42.03%; Holstein Kiel (Visitante): 31.43%; Empate: 26.53%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.77. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -0.502%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.32%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 10:45
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.48%EV -4.16%E -1.83%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:54
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.28%EV -4.58%E -2.02%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.06%EV -2.87%E -0.930%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 10:40
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -0.502%E -0.134%K -0.182%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 10:55
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:53
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 10:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:55
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 10:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 10:55
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 10:53
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.42%E -2.41%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:54
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.41%EV -5.84%E -2.61%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.75%EV -2.87%E -0.930%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -6.07%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.83%EV -6.26%E -2.81%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.07%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.28%EV -9.26%E -2.71%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:50
Suprabets🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -7.10%E -3.21%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -5.07%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 26.89%EV -7.93%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:47
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -3.16%E -0.864%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -2.56%E -0.825%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 10:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.48%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 10:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:54
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:54
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:54
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.82%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.51%EV -8.22%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:50
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:54
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 10:53
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:45
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -8.79%E -4.05%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -5.81%E -1.64%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.47%EV -8.99%E -2.62%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 10:53
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 10:45
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:20
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:20
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -9.63%E -4.48%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.14%E -2.04%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.09%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.23%EV -8.46%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-08 10:25
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -7.27%E -2.47%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.73%E -5.58%K -10.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.30%EV -10.42%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.23%EV -9.79%E -2.88%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 10:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -12.99%E -6.27%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.96%EV -11.36%E -4.03%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.86%EV -13.77%E -4.24%K -6.12%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-08 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -13.41%E -6.51%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -11.11%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.91%EV -13.41%E -6.51%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.70%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.39%EV -11.11%E -3.32%K -4.73%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-08 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -13.83%E -6.75%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.44%E -3.77%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 10:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -15.93%E -7.97%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -11.99%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -13.77%E -4.24%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-08 10:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-08 10:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-08 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-08 10:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.51%0.6%2026-08-08 10:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-08-08 10:45
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.53%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-08-08 10:25