La scuola delle quote

SV Darmstadt 98 v Holstein Kiel

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

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26 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

SV Darmstadt 98 (Casa)

Previsione 44.54%2.25quota equa
EV -4.24%
Vantaggio -1.97%
Kelly -3.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.43%44.57%44.33%45.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.882.042.052.1553.19%48.92%48.78%46.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Holstein Kiel (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.75%3.36quota equa
EV -3.31%
Vantaggio -1.02%
Kelly -1.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.35%29.74%29.91%31.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.053.053.2535.71%32.77%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.71%3.89quota equa
EV -1.01%
Vantaggio -0.261%
Kelly -0.353%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.53%25.69%25.76%26.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.513.503.8531.25%28.52%28.57%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.41%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -1.01%E -0.261%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 15:44
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.24%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.86%E -1.31%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-23 05:58
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -2.29%E -0.603%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:45
1xBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.17%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.45%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -2.29%E -0.603%K -0.818%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 16:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.41%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.32%EV -5.40%E -1.70%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:35
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -2.29%E -0.603%K -0.818%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 15:49
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 09:15
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -9.26%E -3.04%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.72%E -2.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 21:14
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -8.25%E -4.01%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 10:40
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.94%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.31%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -11.29%E -3.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 12:14
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.80%E -1.50%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.00%E -2.86%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 12:14
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 15:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -13.73%E -4.73%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 06:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 06:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.70%E -4.24%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.75%E -3.58%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 05:59
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -10.03%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -7.78%E -2.51%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-23 05:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -6.29%E -2.00%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.43%E -2.06%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 05:49
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -10.92%E -5.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -16.70%E -5.96%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -12.58%E -3.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-24 15:45
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.08%EV -14.93%E -7.82%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -9.86%E -3.25%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -16.43%E -5.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-24 11:10
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 44.24%EV -15.38%E -8.09%K -17.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.49%EV -15.21%E -5.34%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.27%EV -17.72%E -5.54%K -8.05%G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-13 05:49
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 44.82%EV -15.82%E -8.37%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.71%EV -12.24%E -4.15%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.47%EV -17.72%E -5.54%K -8.05%G +0.000%18.1%2026-07-24 11:05
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 44.50%EV -16.27%E -8.65%K -18.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.35%EV -15.21%E -5.34%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.14%EV -17.72%E -5.54%K -8.05%G +0.000%19.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 43.99%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.23%16.6%2026-07-13 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.99%158.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.99%158.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 31.00%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.99%158.0%2026-07-22 13:45