Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-09-06 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Prediction 48.25%2.07fair odd
EV -4.47%
Edge -2.26%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.79%48.35%48.31%50.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.23%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visit)

Prediction 27.30%3.66fair odd
EV +0.993%
Edge +0.269%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.48%27.26%27.34%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.303.303.7032.79%30.27%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.46%4.09fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +0.646%
Kelly +0.848%
Growth +0.023%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.78%24.39%24.36%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.483.753.754.2028.74%26.65%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hertha Berlin (Local): 48.25%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 27.30%; Draw: 24.46%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +2.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +2.71%E +0.646%K +0.848%G +0.023%4.5%2026-08-31 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.726%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 09:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -10.74%E -5.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +0.993%E +0.269%K +0.368%G +0.004%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.726%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 08:58
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -9.77%E -5.23%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.18%E -0.545%K -0.726%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 09:43
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.40%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -0.371%E -0.102%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.20%EV -3.65%E -0.925%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.62%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 12:10
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.06%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.54%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -6.09%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.37%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.09%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.74%E -5.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.07%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 09:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.88%E -3.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -15.38%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.38%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.38%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.29%E -2.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Suprabets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.83%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.55%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 10:32
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -9.52%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.56%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -10.74%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.92%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -10.26%E -5.51%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.96%E -3.32%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.91%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.84%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.22%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.65%E -3.95%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 11:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.15%E -7.31%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.38%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.41%E -4.12%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-31 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.66%EV -11.22%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -11.84%E -3.66%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -14.90%E -4.28%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 11:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%6.1%2026-08-31 12:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 46.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%17.0%2026-08-31 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.03%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.64%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.33%175.2%2026-08-31 11:05