StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-09-06 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Direkter Vergleich

49 Wettanbieter (17 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Hertha Berlin (Heim)

Prognose 48.25%2.07faire Quote
EV -4.47%
Vorteil -2.26%
Kelly -4.56%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.98

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
46.79%48.35%48.31%50.96%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.23%52.36%50.51%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Auswärts)

Prognose 27.29%3.66faire Quote
EV +0.988%
Vorteil +0.267%
Kelly +0.366%
Wachstum +0.004%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.48%27.26%27.34%29.13%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.053.303.303.7032.79%30.27%30.30%27.03%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.46%4.09faire Quote
EV +2.73%
Vorteil +0.650%
Kelly +0.853%
Wachstum +0.023%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.78%24.40%24.36%26.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.483.753.754.2028.74%26.65%26.67%23.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Hertha Berlin (Heim): 48.25%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Auswärts): 27.29%; Unentschieden: 24.46%. Für Unentschieden entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.09. 1 Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.20 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +2.73%.

Wettanbieterquoten (49 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +2.73%E +0.650%K +0.853%G +0.023%4.5%2026-08-31 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 09:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +0.988%E +0.267%K +0.366%G +0.004%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 08:58
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 09:43
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.376%E -0.103%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.25%EV -3.87%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 12:10
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.06%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.54%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.38%E -0.954%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 09:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.88%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Suprabets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.55%EV -8.52%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 10:32
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.56%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -10.26%E -5.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.23%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 11:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-31 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.66%EV -11.23%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -11.84%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -14.88%E -4.28%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 11:53
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%6.1%2026-08-31 12:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 46.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%17.0%2026-08-31 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%174.4%2026-08-31 13:10