StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-09-06 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Hertha Berlin (Hemma)

Prognos 48.25%2.07rättvist odds
EV -4.47%
Fördel -2.26%
Kelly -4.56%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.98

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.79%48.35%48.31%50.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.23%52.36%50.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Borta)

Prognos 27.29%3.66rättvist odds
EV +0.988%
Fördel +0.267%
Kelly +0.366%
Tillväxt +0.004%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.48%27.26%27.34%29.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.053.303.303.7032.79%30.27%30.30%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.46%4.09rättvist odds
EV +2.73%
Fördel +0.650%
Kelly +0.853%
Tillväxt +0.023%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.78%24.40%24.36%26.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.483.753.754.2028.74%26.65%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Hertha Berlin (Hemma): 48.25%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Borta): 27.29%; Oavgjort: 24.46%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.09. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.20, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +2.73%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +2.73%E +0.650%K +0.853%G +0.023%4.5%2026-08-31 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 09:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +0.988%E +0.267%K +0.366%G +0.004%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 08:58
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 09:43
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.376%E -0.103%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.25%EV -3.87%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 12:10
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.06%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.54%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.38%E -0.954%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 09:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.88%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Suprabets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.55%EV -8.52%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 10:32
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.56%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -10.26%E -5.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.23%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 11:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-31 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.66%EV -11.23%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -11.84%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -14.88%E -4.28%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 11:53
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%6.1%2026-08-31 12:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 46.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%17.0%2026-08-31 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%174.4%2026-08-31 13:10