默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-09-06 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

胜负盘

49 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hertha Berlin (主队)

预测 48.25%2.07公平赔率
EV -4.47%
优势 -2.26%
Kelly -4.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.98

博彩公司预测分布
46.79%48.35%48.31%50.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.911.911.9855.56%52.23%52.36%50.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Magdeburg (客队)

预测 27.29%3.66公平赔率
EV +0.988%
优势 +0.267%
Kelly +0.366%
增长率 +0.004%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.48%27.26%27.34%29.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.303.303.7032.79%30.27%30.30%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.46%4.09公平赔率
EV +2.73%
优势 +0.650%
Kelly +0.853%
增长率 +0.023%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.78%24.40%24.36%26.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.483.753.754.2028.74%26.65%26.67%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Hertha Berlin (主队):48.25%;1. FC Magdeburg (客队):27.29%;平局:24.46%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.09。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.20,由此产生+2.73%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.07%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV +2.73%E +0.650%K +0.853%G +0.023%4.5%2026-08-31 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-31 09:08
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.96%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV +0.988%E +0.267%K +0.366%G +0.004%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 08:25
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 08:58
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -2.16%E -0.541%K -0.721%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 09:43
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -4.47%E -2.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.51%EV -4.95%E -2.51%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.69%EV -3.39%E -0.857%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 10:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.376%E -0.103%K -0.142%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.25%EV -3.87%E -0.986%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-31 09:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -4.61%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 12:10
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.06%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.54%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.36%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.38%E -0.954%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -6.08%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -4.47%E -1.28%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 12:29
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.05%E -1.86%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 09:05
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.33%E -4.39%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 12:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -6.88%E -3.57%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.92%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -8.28%E -2.21%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Suprabets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -5.84%E -1.69%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.55%EV -8.52%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 10:32
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-31 11:50
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.00%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.60%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.94%EV -8.81%E -4.66%K -9.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.98%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-31 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.07%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.01%EV -16.75%E -5.49%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.92%EV -9.50%E -2.57%K -3.52%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.56%EV -9.30%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -10.72%E -2.94%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-31 11:50
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -7.37%E -3.84%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -8.56%E -2.56%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 11:49
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.93%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.46%EV -10.26%E -5.52%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.02%EV -14.02%E -4.45%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.95%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.92%E -3.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.20%E -2.12%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.29%E -3.48%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -11.23%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.66%E -3.96%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 11:49
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.73%EV -13.16%E -7.31%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.72%EV -15.39%E -4.96%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -14.39%E -4.11%K -5.76%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-31 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.66%EV -11.23%E -6.10%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -11.84%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.20%EV -14.88%E -4.28%K -6.00%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 11:53
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 49.10%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.41%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%6.1%2026-08-31 12:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 46.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.03%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.52%17.0%2026-08-31 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-08-31 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.13%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.43%174.4%2026-08-31 13:10