默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Magdeburg

开赛时间: 2026-09-06 11:30 UTC

最终结果: Hertha Berlin 2–1 1. FC Magdeburg

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hertha Berlin (主队)

预测 48.83%2.05公平赔率
EV -3.80%
优势 -1.93%
Kelly -3.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.97

博彩公司预测分布
47.80%48.83%48.91%50.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.791.881.881.9755.87%53.16%53.19%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Magdeburg (客队)

预测 27.61%3.62公平赔率
EV +3.81%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.38%
增长率 +0.052%

假设最高赔率为 3.76

博彩公司预测分布
25.26%27.69%27.52%28.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.343.313.7632.26%29.98%30.21%26.60%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.56%4.24公平赔率
EV +1.30%
优势 +0.302%
Kelly +0.393%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 4.30

博彩公司预测分布
22.18%23.48%23.56%24.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.943.904.3027.78%25.40%25.64%23.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hertha Berlin (主队):48.83%;1. FC Magdeburg (客队):27.61%;平局:23.56%。 对于“1. FC Magdeburg (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.62。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.76,对应+3.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -7.70%E -4.08%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV +3.81%E +1.01%K +1.38%G +0.052%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.48%EV -8.60%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -5.26%E -2.71%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.69%EV -0.059%E -0.016%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.51%EV -3.18%E -0.773%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-06 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -3.80%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV -2.27%E -0.640%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.08%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 10:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -3.80%E -1.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.14%EV -2.27%E -0.640%K -0.893%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.08%EV -6.00%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-06 10:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -8.68%E -4.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.37%E -0.963%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -1.06%E -0.252%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -4.77%E -2.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 06:14
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:44
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:44
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:44
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 10:44
Suprabets🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.70%E -4.08%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -9.30%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 11:05
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.01%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -4.75%E -1.38%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.22%E -3.80%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -5.03%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -7.65%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:25
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.33%EV -5.75%E -2.98%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.67%EV -1.06%E -0.252%K -0.330%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 11:00
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -4.77%E -2.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 10:44
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 10:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.77%E -2.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 06:10
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:04
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 11:00
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.13%E -1.80%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 06:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.45%EV -5.26%E -2.71%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 06:14
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.84%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 06:10
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.80%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -7.51%E -2.24%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -12.84%E -3.47%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 06:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.37%EV -8.19%E -4.36%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.39%EV -8.34%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.77%E -2.45%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV +1.30%E +0.302%K +0.393%G +0.005%4.8%2026-09-06 11:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.41%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 10:45
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:05
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -11.12%E -6.11%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:44
BetRivers🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -11.12%E -6.11%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -8.89%E -2.69%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:44
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.22%E -3.80%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -1.06%E -0.252%K -0.330%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -7.22%E -3.80%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -1.06%E -0.252%K -0.330%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -12.59%E -7.03%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -12.59%E -7.03%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.46%EV -12.59%E -7.03%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.27%E -3.16%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 10:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -7.22%E -3.80%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -3.41%E -0.832%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:10
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.08%EV -6.24%E -3.25%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 10:50
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -7.22%E -3.80%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.77%E -1.44%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 11:10
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -6.73%E -3.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -8.12%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 11:10
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -11.66%E -3.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.07%EV -10.63%E -5.81%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.49%EV -11.65%E -3.64%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.19%E -4.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-06 11:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.08%EV -9.17%E -4.93%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.39%EV -13.03%E -4.14%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-06 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:00
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.99%EV -9.66%E -5.22%K -11.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.48%E -2.76%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 11:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.08%EV -11.61%E -6.41%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.07%EV -14.41%E -4.65%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.84%EV -14.01%E -3.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 11:25
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.5%2026-09-06 11:20
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.0%2026-09-06 10:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-09-06 11:25
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%2.2%2026-09-06 11:25