The School of Odds

FC St. Pauli v Greuther Fürth

2026-08-08 11:30 — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Option 1: FC St. Pauli (Local)

Odds
1.5664.10%Min
1.6660.18%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7158.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
52.93%1.889Min
56.21%1.779Max
55.50%1.802Mean
55.50%1.802Median
55.50%1.802IQM
55.45%1.803Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 55.50%

EV -5.10%Edge -2.98%Kelly -7.18%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Greuther Fürth (Visit)

Odds
3.5528.17%Min
4.0824.50%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.5022.22%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.61%4.852Min
23.68%4.222Max
21.20%4.717Mean
21.20%4.717Median
21.20%4.717IQM
21.24%4.709Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.50 under the IQM model: 21.20%

EV -4.61%Edge -1.02%Kelly -1.32%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.5028.57%Min
3.8026.28%Mean
3.8026.32%Median
4.2023.81%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.83%4.580Min
24.66%4.056Max
23.30%4.291Mean
23.30%4.291Median
23.30%4.291IQM
23.31%4.290Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.20 under the IQM model: 23.30%

EV -2.12%Edge -0.506%Kelly -0.664%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFC St. Pauli (Local) ▼Greuther Fürth (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.71I 58.48% NM 54.79%EV -5.10% E -2.98% K -7.18% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.79%EV -8.85% E -2.06% K -2.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.42%EV -6.79% E -1.70% K -2.26% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 11:55
FanDuel1.71I 58.48% NM 54.79%EV -5.10% E -2.98% K -7.18% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 21.79%EV -8.85% E -2.06% K -2.68% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.42%EV -6.79% E -1.70% K -2.26% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-08 13:54
1xBet1.69I 59.17% NM 54.25%EV -6.21% E -3.67% K -9.00% G +0.000%4.24I 23.58% NM 21.62%EV -10.12% E -2.39% K -3.12% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.13%EV -11.45% E -3.01% K -4.09% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 15:14
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 54.43%EV -7.32% E -4.38% K -10.92% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.64%EV -10.97% E -2.61% K -3.43% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 23.92%EV -11.45% E -3.01% K -4.09% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-08 15:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 53.15%EV -7.32% E -4.38% K -10.92% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.19%EV -15.21% E -3.80% K -5.07% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.66%EV -16.11% E -4.47% K -6.19% G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds1.67I 59.88% NM 53.15%EV -7.32% E -4.38% K -10.92% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.19%EV -15.21% E -3.80% K -5.07% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.66%EV -16.11% E -4.47% K -6.19% G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-08 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 53.15%EV -7.32% E -4.38% K -10.92% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.19%EV -15.21% E -3.80% K -5.07% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 24.66%EV -16.11% E -4.47% K -6.19% G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-08 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24% NM 55.24%EV -7.87% E -4.74% K -11.93% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 22.93%EV -15.21% E -3.80% K -5.07% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 21.83%EV -2.12% E -0.506% K -0.664% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-08 12:00
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61% NM 56.21%EV -8.43% E -5.11% K -12.97% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.61%EV -4.61% E -1.02% K -1.32% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.19%EV -6.79% E -1.70% K -2.26% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-08 11:59
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 52.93%EV -10.09% E -6.23% K -16.28% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 22.57%EV -19.45% E -5.12% K -6.94% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.50%EV -18.44% E -5.27% K -7.37% G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-08 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10% NM 53.90%EV -13.42% E -8.60% K -23.97% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 23.68%EV -24.74% E -6.97% K -9.70% G +0.000%3.75I 26.67% NM 22.42%EV -12.61% E -3.36% K -4.59% G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-08 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerFC St. Pauli (Local)Greuther Fürth (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35% NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81% NM 13.00%1.02I 98.04% NM 53.52%83.2%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35% NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81% NM 13.00%1.02I 98.04% NM 53.52%83.2%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35% NM 33.49%4.20I 23.81% NM 13.00%1.02I 98.04% NM 53.52%83.2%2026-07-08 15:40