Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC St. Pauli v Greuther Fürth

Inizio: 2026-08-09 11:30 UTC

Finale: FC St. Pauli 1–1 Greuther Fürth

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC St. Pauli (Casa)

Previsione 56.56%1.77quota equa
EV -1.58%
Vantaggio -0.906%
Kelly -2.13%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.20%56.44%56.59%58.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.651.651.7465.36%60.70%60.61%57.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Greuther Fürth (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.90%5.02quota equa
EV +2.29%
Vantaggio +0.446%
Kelly +0.554%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.14

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.61%20.08%19.88%21.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.544.505.1425.00%22.05%22.22%19.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.53%4.25quota equa
EV -1.16%
Vantaggio -0.276%
Kelly -0.362%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.47%23.48%23.53%24.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.893.854.2028.17%25.69%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: FC St. Pauli (Casa): 56.56%; Greuther Fürth (Trasferta): 19.90%; Pareggio: 23.53%. Per Greuther Fürth (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.02. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 5.14, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.29%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.33%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.30%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.61%EV +2.29%E +0.446%K +0.554%G +0.013%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.05%EV -2.34%E -0.563%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.83%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.492%E -0.098%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -4.69%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.83%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.492%E -0.098%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -4.69%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:15
Suprabets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.492%E -0.098%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -2.48%E -0.507%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.16%E -0.276%K -0.362%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:15
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -10.06%E -6.33%K -17.05%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -2.48%E -0.507%K -0.636%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 11:24
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.53%EV -3.08%E -0.632%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.80%E -4.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:25
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:23
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:23
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 11:15
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:08
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.46%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -7.46%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -7.46%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.83%EV -9.50%E -5.94%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.55%EV -7.46%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 11:23
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:20
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:20
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:25
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -12.32%E -7.95%K -22.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 11:19
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -2.71%E -1.57%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:20
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-09 11:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:15
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:15
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:20
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.96%EV -13.46%E -8.79%K -25.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.81%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-09 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:15
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 11:15
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 11:15
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:25
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -1.58%E -0.906%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -14.42%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.42%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -15.42%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -15.42%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:15
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -9.50%E -5.94%K -15.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -7.80%E -4.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -18.40%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.10%E -3.86%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -7.80%E -4.78%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -18.40%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.10%E -3.86%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-09 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.50%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -20.39%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.10%EV -16.46%E -4.64%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-09 11:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63%0.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.65%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56%1.9%2026-08-09 11:25