La scuola delle quote

FC St. Pauli v Greuther Fürth

2026-08-09 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

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25 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC St. Pauli (Casa)

Previsione 56.51%1.77quota equa
EV -4.50%
Vantaggio -2.66%
Kelly -6.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.69

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.69%56.65%56.43%58.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.611.621.6967.57%61.96%61.73%59.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Greuther Fürth (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.39%4.90quota equa
EV +1.97%
Vantaggio +0.394%
Kelly +0.492%
Crescita +0.010%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.81%20.25%20.41%21.66%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.394.405.0025.64%22.77%22.73%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.10%4.33quota equa
EV -3.00%
Vantaggio -0.713%
Kelly -0.936%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.40%23.09%23.16%24.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.553.893.954.2028.17%25.68%25.32%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -9.58%E -5.99%K -15.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.97%E +0.394%K +0.492%G +0.010%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.00%E -0.713%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:00
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.89%EV -7.32%E -4.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.07%EV -5.17%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 07:46
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -4.50%E -2.66%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 10:39
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -7.89%E -4.84%K -12.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 06:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.45%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.19%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 05:58
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.45%EV -6.19%E -3.73%K -9.38%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.41%EV -6.39%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 07:50
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -7.21%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -7.21%E -1.58%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:14
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -5.06%E -3.01%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.00%E -0.713%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 08:04
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.77%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 10:40
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -7.32%E -4.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.54%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 07:51
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.76%E -4.10%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.23%E -1.83%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -7.32%E -4.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 05:34
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.58%E -5.99%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 05:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.58%E -5.99%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.27%E -2.33%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 06:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.45%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -12.31%E -2.86%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.45%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.45%E -5.22%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -9.02%E -5.60%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-15 10:39
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -9.02%E -5.60%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-15 10:38
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.75%EV -12.41%E -8.01%K -22.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.67%EV -15.70%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-25 11:34
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.71%EV -16.37%E -11.06%K -34.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -14.35%E -3.42%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.31%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-22 13:43
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.29%EV -13.54%E -8.85%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 20.89%EV -17.41%E -4.30%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.83%EV -18.01%E -5.07%K -7.06%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -11.28%E -7.18%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -18.43%E -4.61%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.87%EV -12.97%E -8.43%K -24.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.66%EV -20.46%E -5.25%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.47%EV -16.85%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-13 05:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 55.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%16.3%2026-07-13 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-13 12:15