A Escola das Odds

FC St. Pauli v Greuther Fürth

2026-08-09 11:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Frente a frente

26 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC St. Pauli (Local)

Previsão 56.61%1.77odd justa
EV -4.34%
Vantagem -2.57%
Kelly -6.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.69%56.72%56.44%58.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.481.611.621.6967.57%61.93%61.73%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Greuther Fürth (Visitante)

Previsão 20.30%4.93odd justa
EV +1.49%
Vantagem +0.298%
Kelly +0.373%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.81%20.18%20.38%21.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.904.414.455.0025.64%22.66%22.47%20.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.10%4.33odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -0.714%
Kelly -0.937%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.40%23.10%23.18%24.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.553.903.954.2028.17%25.63%25.32%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (26 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -9.43%E -5.89%K -15.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV +1.49%E +0.298%K +0.373%G +0.006%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 15:00
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.47%E -3.27%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 13:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.29%EV -7.73%E -4.74%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -3.58%E -0.754%K -0.956%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.06%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 16:25
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.60%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.03%EV -5.00%E -1.07%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.46%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 16:30
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -4.34%E -2.57%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 10:39
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -7.73%E -4.74%K -12.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-23 06:00
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -6.63%E -1.44%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.31%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-23 05:58
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -6.60%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -6.60%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -7.64%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.77%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 12:14
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.39%EV -4.90%E -2.92%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -3.00%E -0.714%K -0.937%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-23 08:04
Codere (IT)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.04%EV -6.60%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -8.77%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-13 10:40
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 16:33
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.60%E -4.00%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -8.66%E -1.92%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.24%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 12:14
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.09%EV -7.17%E -4.37%K -11.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 05:34
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.43%E -5.89%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 05:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.43%E -5.89%K -15.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -10.69%E -2.43%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -7.62%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-23 06:00
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -12.72%E -2.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -9.93%E -2.55%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-23 05:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.30%E -5.12%K -13.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-15 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.86%E -5.51%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-15 10:39
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.86%E -5.51%K -14.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.39%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-15 10:38
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 55.75%EV -12.26%E -7.91%K -22.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.67%EV -15.70%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-25 11:34
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.71%EV -16.22%E -10.96%K -33.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.98%EV -14.75%E -3.51%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.31%EV -16.86%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-22 13:43
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.29%EV -13.39%E -8.75%K -25.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 20.89%EV -17.79%E -4.39%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.83%EV -18.01%E -5.07%K -7.06%G +0.000%18.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 54.69%EV -11.13%E -7.09%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -18.81%E -4.70%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85%EV -16.86%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-23 05:59
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 54.87%EV -12.83%E -8.33%K -23.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.66%EV -20.84%E -5.34%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.47%EV -16.86%E -4.68%K -6.48%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-13 05:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 55.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%16.3%2026-07-13 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-13 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.19I 84.03%NM 31.58%1.02I 98.04%NM 36.84%166.1%2026-07-13 12:15