Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.74
avec la cote maximale 5.14
avec la cote maximale 4.20
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC St. Pauli (Local) : 56.56% ; Greuther Fürth (Visiteur) : 19.90% ; Match nul : 23.53%. Pour Greuther Fürth (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.02. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.14, soit une espérance positive de +2.29%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.33%EV -7.23%E -4.41%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 5.14I 19.46%NM 18.61%EV +2.29%E +0.446%K +0.554%G +0.013% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.05%EV -2.34%E -0.563%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.83%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.492%E -0.098%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -4.69%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.83%EV -3.84%E -2.26%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -0.492%E -0.098%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.85%EV -4.69%E -1.16%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -0.492%E -0.098%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.26%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -2.48%E -0.507%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -1.16%E -0.276%K -0.362%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.40%EV -10.06%E -6.33%K -17.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -2.48%E -0.507%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.28%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.53%EV -3.08%E -0.632%K -0.796%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.79%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.48%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -7.80%E -4.78%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 11:23 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.47%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 11:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 11:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.47%E -1.15%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.46%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -7.46%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -7.46%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 11:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.83%EV -9.50%E -5.94%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.55%EV -7.46%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-09 11:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.34%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.51%E -0.857%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.34%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.57%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -12.32%E -7.95%K -22.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -8.45%E -1.84%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -2.71%E -1.57%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -6.67%E -4.04%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -10.44%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-09 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.56%EV -3.27%E -1.91%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.96%EV -13.46%E -8.79%K -25.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.81%EV -12.43%E -2.83%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -8.37%E -5.16%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -8.93%E -5.55%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -13.83%E -3.19%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -10.57%E -2.78%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -1.58%E -0.906%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -14.42%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.87%EV -7.04%E -1.78%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 11:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -4.97%E -2.96%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -14.42%E -3.35%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.87%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.62%EV -4.41%E -2.61%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -15.42%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -8.22%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.40%EV -5.54%E -3.32%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.38%EV -15.42%E -3.63%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -11.75%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -6.10%E -3.68%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.93%E -3.49%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -9.50%E -5.94%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.41%E -3.91%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -9.40%E -2.44%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -7.80%E -4.78%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -18.40%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.10%E -3.86%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -7.80%E -4.78%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -18.40%E -4.49%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -14.10%E -3.86%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.50%EV -11.19%E -7.13%K -19.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.39%EV -20.39%E -5.10%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.10%EV -16.46%E -4.64%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-09 11:15 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.58% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.63% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.65% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.95% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.78% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.66% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-09 11:25 |