StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin

Matchstart: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Dynamo Dresden (Hemma)

Prognos 37.12%2.69rättvist odds
EV +0.226%
Fördel +0.084%
Kelly +0.133%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.96%37.05%37.11%38.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.68%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Borta)

Prognos 36.39%2.75rättvist odds
EV -3.20%
Fördel -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.66

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.65%36.50%36.36%38.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.502.502.6643.48%39.98%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.49%3.78rättvist odds
EV -0.670%
Fördel -0.179%
Kelly -0.244%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.37%26.46%26.53%28.13%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.87%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Dynamo Dresden (Hemma): 37.12%; Hertha Berlin (Borta): 36.39%; Oavgjort: 26.49%. För Dynamo Dresden (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.69. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.226%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -2.37%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:09
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:34
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.670%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:23
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Suprabets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:39
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 17:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -15.57%E -6.71%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.05%E -3.70%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -10.74%E -3.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:50
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.93%E -4.93%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.27%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-04-04 18:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 18:15