مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin

البداية: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

54 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dynamo Dresden (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.12%2.69السعر العادل
EV +0.226%
الأفضلية +0.084%
Kelly +0.133%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.96%37.05%37.11%38.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.68%40.00%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hertha Berlin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 36.39%2.75السعر العادل
EV -3.20%
الأفضلية -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.65%36.50%36.36%38.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.502.502.6643.48%39.98%40.00%37.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.49%3.78السعر العادل
EV -0.670%
الأفضلية -0.179%
Kelly -0.244%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.37%26.46%26.53%28.13%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.87%28.57%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (54 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -2.37%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:24
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:09
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:34
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:25
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.670%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:15
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:23
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Suprabets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:16
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:39
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:18
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:10
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 17:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:19
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -15.57%E -6.71%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.05%E -3.70%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -10.74%E -3.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:50
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.93%E -4.93%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 18:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.27%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-04-04 18:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 18:15