La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dynamo Dresden (Local)
Predicción 37.12%2.69momio equitativo
EV +0.226%
Ventaja +0.084%
Kelly +0.133%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.96%37.05%37.11%38.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.68%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hertha Berlin (Visitante)
Predicción 36.39%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.65%36.50%36.36%38.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.6643.48%39.98%40.00%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.49%3.78momio equitativo
EV -0.670%
Ventaja -0.179%
Kelly -0.244%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.37%26.46%26.53%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.87%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Grosvenor | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Casumo | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Unibet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| betPARX | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -2.37%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.670%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-04 18:23 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 17:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Suprabets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 18:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 18:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 17:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:15 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:14 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 18:14 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 17:35 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 13:20 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 13:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -15.57%E -6.71%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.05%E -3.70%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-04 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -10.74%E -3.19%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-04 18:08 |
| Sky Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-04 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.93%E -4.93%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-04 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.27% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28% | 0.1% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 18:24 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25% | 1.6% | 2026-04-04 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 18:15 |