Die Schule der Quoten

Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

54 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Heim)

Prognose 37.12%2.69faire Quote
EV +0.226%
Vorteil +0.084%
Kelly +0.133%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.70

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.96%37.05%37.11%38.09%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.68%40.00%37.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Hertha Berlin (Auswärts)

Prognose 36.39%2.75faire Quote
EV -3.20%
Vorteil -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.66

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
35.65%36.50%36.36%38.15%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.302.502.502.6643.48%39.98%40.00%37.59%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.49%3.78faire Quote
EV -0.670%
Vorteil -0.179%
Kelly -0.244%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.37%26.46%26.53%28.13%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.87%28.57%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (54 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -2.37%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:24
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:09
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:34
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:25
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.670%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:15
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:23
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Suprabets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:16
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:39
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:18
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:10
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 17:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:19
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -15.57%E -6.71%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.05%E -3.70%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -10.74%E -3.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:50
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.93%E -4.93%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.27%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-04-04 18:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 18:15