La scuola delle quote

Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin

Inizio: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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54 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dynamo Dresden (Casa)

Previsione 37.12%2.69quota equa
EV +0.226%
Vantaggio +0.084%
Kelly +0.133%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.96%37.05%37.11%38.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.68%40.00%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Hertha Berlin (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.39%2.75quota equa
EV -3.20%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.65%36.50%36.36%38.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.502.502.6643.48%39.98%40.00%37.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.49%3.78quota equa
EV -0.670%
Vantaggio -0.179%
Kelly -0.244%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.37%26.46%26.53%28.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.87%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (54 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -2.37%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:24
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:09
BetRivers2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:34
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:25
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.670%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:15
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:23
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Suprabets2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:16
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:50
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:30
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:39
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:18
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:10
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 17:35
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:19
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -15.57%E -6.71%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.05%E -3.70%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -10.74%E -3.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:50
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.93%E -4.93%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.27%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-04-04 18:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 18:15