Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Dynamo Dresden v Hertha Berlin

Początek: 2026-04-04 18:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

54 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Dynamo Dresden (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.12%2.69kurs godziwy
EV +0.226%
Przewaga +0.084%
Kelly +0.133%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.70

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
34.96%37.05%37.11%38.09%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.522.502.7043.48%39.68%40.00%37.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Hertha Berlin (Goście)

Prognoza 36.39%2.75kurs godziwy
EV -3.20%
Przewaga -1.20%
Kelly -1.93%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.66

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.65%36.50%36.36%38.15%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.502.502.6643.48%39.98%40.00%37.59%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 26.49%3.78kurs godziwy
EV -0.670%
Przewaga -0.179%
Kelly -0.244%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.37%26.46%26.53%28.13%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.003.463.503.7533.33%28.87%28.57%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Dynamo Dresden (Gospodarze): 37.12%; Hertha Berlin (Goście): 36.39%; Remis: 26.49%. Dla wyniku Dynamo Dresden (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.69. 2 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.70, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.226%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (54 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV +0.226%E +0.084%K +0.133%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -9.75%E -3.93%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 18:24
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:24
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -1.63%E -0.615%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.15%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:24
LeoVegas🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.15%EV -2.37%E -0.902%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.05%EV -11.57%E -4.76%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 37.13%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.57%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-04 18:09
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 17:34
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -4.23%E -1.64%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV -3.20%E -1.20%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.14%EV -1.99%E -0.539%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -0.670%E -0.179%K -0.244%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-04 18:23
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.34%E -2.09%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 18:24
Suprabets🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.12%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.54%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 18:16
Marathon Bet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.03%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.45%EV -6.84%E -2.67%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.76%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 18:24
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.46%E -2.56%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -8.29%E -3.29%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 18:20
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:34
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:30
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 17:39
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.64%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:15
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.29%E -2.08%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 18:14
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.38%E -2.07%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 18:10
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.20%E -2.82%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 17:35
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:20
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.01%EV -15.57%E -6.71%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 18:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.45%EV -9.05%E -3.70%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -5.97%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.20%EV -10.11%E -4.09%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.54%EV -10.74%E -3.19%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-04 18:08
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.59%E -3.82%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -16.30%E -7.09%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -20.54%E -6.85%K -10.27%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 18:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:50
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.65%E -4.90%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -12.02%E -5.07%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -9.02%E -3.61%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.94%E -2.92%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.93%E -4.93%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.84%EV -13.91%E -4.28%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-04 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.77%E -5.43%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -14.48%E -6.16%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-04 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -10.84%E -4.43%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.27%E -3.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-04 18:09
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.27%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.28%0.1%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-04-04 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.04%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.49%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-04-04 18:24
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.25%1.6%2026-04-04 18:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%2.1%2026-04-04 18:15