The School of Odds

1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden

2026-08-08 11:30 — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Option 1: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Odds
1.7457.47%Min
1.8354.56%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.9052.63%Max
Consensus probabilities
48.20%2.075Min
51.64%1.936Max
50.85%1.967Mean
50.85%1.967Median
50.85%1.967IQM
50.81%1.968Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.90 under the IQM model: 50.85%

EV -3.38%Edge -1.78%Kelly -3.76%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Dynamo Dresden (Visit)

Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.6527.43%Mean
3.7027.03%Median
4.0025.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.24%4.303Min
26.26%3.809Max
23.94%4.178Mean
23.94%4.178Median
23.94%4.178IQM
23.97%4.172Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.00 under the IQM model: 23.94%

EV -4.25%Edge -1.06%Kelly -1.42%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.4928.65%Mean
3.4528.99%Median
3.7027.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.94%4.010Min
27.06%3.695Max
25.21%3.966Mean
25.21%3.966Median
25.21%3.966IQM
25.22%3.966Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 25.21%

EV -6.72%Edge -1.82%Kelly -2.49%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker1. FC Nürnberg (Local) ▼Dynamo Dresden (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.90I 52.63% NM 49.66%EV -3.38% E -1.78% K -3.76% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.83%EV -9.04% E -2.38% K -3.23% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.50%EV -6.72% E -1.82% K -2.49% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 11:55
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19% NM 49.08%EV -4.40% E -2.34% K -5.00% G +0.000%3.55I 28.17% NM 25.99%EV -15.02% E -4.23% K -5.89% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.94%EV -6.72% E -1.82% K -2.49% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 12:00
FanDuel1.87I 53.48% NM 50.06%EV -4.91% E -2.62% K -5.64% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.64%EV -9.04% E -2.38% K -3.23% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.30%EV -6.72% E -1.82% K -2.49% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 13:54
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05% NM 49.32%EV -5.93% E -3.20% K -6.97% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.34%EV -13.83% E -3.84% K -5.32% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.34%EV -9.24% E -2.57% K -3.55% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-08 15:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64% NM 48.80%EV -6.94% E -3.79% K -8.36% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.14%EV -11.43% E -3.09% K -4.23% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.06%EV -16.80% E -5.09% K -7.30% G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds1.83I 54.64% NM 48.80%EV -6.94% E -3.79% K -8.36% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.14%EV -11.43% E -3.09% K -4.23% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.06%EV -16.80% E -5.09% K -7.30% G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-08 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64% NM 48.80%EV -6.94% E -3.79% K -8.36% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 24.14%EV -11.43% E -3.09% K -4.23% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.06%EV -16.80% E -5.09% K -7.30% G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-08 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56% NM 51.64%EV -8.47% E -4.70% K -10.58% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.24%EV -4.25% E -1.06% K -1.42% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.12%EV -6.72% E -1.82% K -2.49% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-08 11:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56% NM 48.20%EV -8.47% E -4.70% K -10.58% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 25.52%EV -18.61% E -5.47% K -7.76% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 26.29%EV -16.80% E -5.09% K -7.30% G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-08 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47% NM 48.29%EV -11.52% E -6.62% K -15.57% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.26%EV -23.40% E -7.31% K -10.64% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 25.46%EV -16.80% E -5.09% K -7.30% G +0.000%19.0%2026-07-08 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker1. FC Nürnberg (Local)Dynamo Dresden (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82% NM 31.48%3.90I 25.64% NM 14.21%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.32%80.5%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82% NM 31.48%3.90I 25.64% NM 14.21%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.32%80.5%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82% NM 31.48%3.90I 25.64% NM 14.21%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.32%80.5%2026-07-08 15:40