Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden

Início: 2026-08-09 11:30 UTC

Final: 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Previsão 38.18%2.62odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -0.883%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.90%38.34%38.00%39.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.172.392.382.5646.08%41.84%42.02%39.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)

Previsão 34.16%2.93odd justa
EV -0.935%
Vantagem -0.322%
Kelly -0.492%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.01%34.12%34.22%35.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.722.712.9039.22%36.82%36.97%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.66%3.62odd justa
EV -0.422%
Vantagem -0.117%
Kelly -0.162%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.42%27.55%27.78%29.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.353.333.6032.26%29.87%30.08%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: 1. FC Nürnberg (Local): 38.18%; Dynamo Dresden (Visitante): 34.16%; Empate: 27.66%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.62. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -0.422%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.48%EV -2.26%E -0.883%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.63%EV -5.38%E -1.94%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -1.62%E -0.562%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:24
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:23
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -4.93%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.32%E -2.14%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.49%EV -7.43%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -7.06%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.70%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.06%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.90%EV -5.70%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.31%EV -10.93%E -3.40%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.935%E -0.322%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.81%E -0.509%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.935%E -0.322%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.81%E -0.509%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 11:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:23
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 11:14
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.422%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:24
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -2.64%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:10
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 10:55
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -4.01%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 11:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -4.01%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -12.89%E -5.06%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 11:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.72%EV -11.42%E -4.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.05%EV -12.21%E -4.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 11:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -12.95%E -5.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -17.15%E -7.90%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -12.89%E -5.06%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-09 11:05