La escuela de los momios1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden
Resultado del partido
1. FC Nürnberg (Local)
Predicción 51.25%1.95momio equitativo
EV -0.054%
Ventaja -0.028%
Kelly -0.057%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.34%50.96%51.27%51.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.631.781.801.9561.35%56.18%55.56%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dynamo Dresden (Visitante)
Predicción 23.70%4.22momio equitativo
EV -5.19%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.43%24.09%23.74%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.783.804.0029.41%26.49%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.04%3.99momio equitativo
EV +0.168%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.056%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.80%24.95%24.99%25.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.613.604.0030.30%27.73%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (25 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.74%E -2.27%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV +0.168%E +0.042%K +0.056%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-23 08:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -5.19%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.56%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 07:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.56%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 07:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.77%E -4.93%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.84%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 05:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -0.054%E -0.028%K -0.057%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -14.67%E -4.07%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 10:40 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 12:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.37%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 12:14 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -7.56%E -1.94%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.60%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 21:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.62%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.65%EV -6.13%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.73%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 01:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.95%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.66%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-19 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.77%E -4.93%K -11.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-13 12:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.30%E -5.89%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.30%E -5.89%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -10.30%E -5.89%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -9.93%E -2.61%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.23%EV -11.10%E -3.13%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.30%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.30%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.30%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.98%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.30%E -3.32%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.28%EV -13.89%E -8.27%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.60%EV -13.48%E -3.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.12%EV -14.11%E -4.11%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-07-25 11:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.92%EV -11.33%E -6.55%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -17.04%E -4.87%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.40%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-07-21 07:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 50.60%EV -14.92%E -8.99%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.70%EV -19.41%E -5.71%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.70%EV -14.86%E -4.37%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 19.1% | 2026-07-13 05:34 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 50.94%EV -14.92%E -8.99%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.82%EV -15.85%E -4.47%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.24%EV -16.11%E -4.81%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-07-25 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 51.20%EV -16.46%E -10.10%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.51%EV -15.85%E -4.47%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.29%EV -17.36%E -5.26%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-07-22 13:43 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 50.51% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.85% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.63% | 16.5% | 2026-07-13 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 22.50% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 39.11% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 38.39% | 139.0% | 2026-07-21 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 22.50% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 39.11% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 38.39% | 139.0% | 2026-07-21 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 33.11% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 32.81% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 34.08% | 184.9% | 2026-07-13 12:15 |