Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 11:30 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Nürnberg (Local)

Prévision 38.18%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.26%
Avantage -0.883%
Kelly -1.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.90%38.34%38.00%39.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.172.392.382.5646.08%41.84%42.02%39.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.16%2.93cote équitable
EV -0.935%
Avantage -0.322%
Kelly -0.492%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.01%34.12%34.22%35.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.722.712.9039.22%36.82%36.97%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.66%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.422%
Avantage -0.117%
Kelly -0.162%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.42%27.55%27.78%29.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.353.333.6032.26%29.87%30.08%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : 1. FC Nürnberg (Local) : 38.18% ; Dynamo Dresden (Visiteur) : 34.16% ; Match nul : 27.66%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.62. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.60, pour une espérance de -0.422% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.48%EV -2.26%E -0.883%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.63%EV -5.38%E -1.94%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -1.62%E -0.562%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:24
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:23
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -4.93%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.32%E -2.14%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.49%EV -7.43%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -7.06%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.70%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.06%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.90%EV -5.70%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.31%EV -10.93%E -3.40%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.935%E -0.322%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.81%E -0.509%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.935%E -0.322%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.81%E -0.509%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 11:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:23
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 11:14
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.422%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:24
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -2.64%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:10
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 10:55
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -4.01%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 11:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -4.01%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -12.89%E -5.06%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 11:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.72%EV -11.42%E -4.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.05%EV -12.21%E -4.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 11:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -12.95%E -5.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -17.15%E -7.90%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -12.89%E -5.06%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-09 11:05