StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Nürnberg v Dynamo Dresden

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 11:30 UTC

Slutresultat: 1. FC Nürnberg 3–0 Dynamo Dresden

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Nürnberg (Hemma)

Prognos 38.18%2.62rättvist odds
EV -2.26%
Fördel -0.883%
Kelly -1.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.56

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.90%38.34%38.00%39.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.172.392.382.5646.08%41.84%42.02%39.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Dynamo Dresden (Borta)

Prognos 34.16%2.93rättvist odds
EV -0.935%
Fördel -0.322%
Kelly -0.492%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.01%34.12%34.22%35.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.722.712.9039.22%36.82%36.97%34.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.66%3.62rättvist odds
EV -0.422%
Fördel -0.117%
Kelly -0.162%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.42%27.55%27.78%29.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.103.353.333.6032.26%29.87%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: 1. FC Nürnberg (Hemma): 38.18%; Dynamo Dresden (Borta): 34.16%; Oavgjort: 27.66%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.62. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.60, med väntevärdet -0.422%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.48%EV -2.26%E -0.883%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.63%EV -5.38%E -1.94%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.89%EV -4.85%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 11:25
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.79%E -1.50%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.01%EV -1.62%E -0.562%K -0.861%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:24
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 11:25
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -4.55%E -1.82%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:23
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -4.93%E -1.98%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.33%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Suprabets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -5.32%E -2.14%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.49%EV -7.43%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.82%EV -7.06%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.70%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.06%E -2.10%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.90%EV -5.70%E -2.31%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.79%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.31%EV -10.93%E -3.40%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 11:23
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.935%E -0.322%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.81%E -0.509%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -0.935%E -0.322%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -1.81%E -0.509%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-09 11:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 11:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 11:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 11:23
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.08%E -2.60%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -6.46%E -2.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 11:14
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.422%E -0.117%K -0.162%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:24
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -2.64%E -0.927%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 11:10
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.38%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.50%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 11:10
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.37%E -3.49%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.18%E -4.30%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.57%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 11:00
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -5.95%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 10:55
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-09 11:20
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.25%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -9.13%E -3.84%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -10.16%E -3.86%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 11:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -4.01%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 11:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.52%E -4.01%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -10.50%E -4.01%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 11:00
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -4.35%E -1.55%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.34%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.19%E -0.911%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-09 11:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -10.28%E -4.37%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -12.89%E -5.06%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-09 11:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.72%EV -11.42%E -4.92%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.05%EV -12.21%E -4.75%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -14.25%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 11:15
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.06%E -2.20%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 11:10
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.19%E -5.30%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.72%E -2.64%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -12.95%E -5.68%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -7.77%E -2.88%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -7.34%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -14.10%E -6.27%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -9.48%E -3.58%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -10.10%E -3.11%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 39.54%EV -17.15%E -7.90%K -14.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.65%EV -12.89%E -5.06%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.81%EV -11.49%E -3.59%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-09 11:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Matchbook2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.82%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-08-09 11:25
Smarkets2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-08-09 11:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-08-09 11:05